104 pip movement on USDCAD expected

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect a 104 pip movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release at 10 Jun 00:00 GMT+10. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 10 Jun 00:00 GMT+10 if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Apr 00:00
11 Mar 02:00
10 Dec 02:00
29 Oct 01:00
10 Sep 00:00
04 Jun 00:00
16 Apr 00:00
05 Dec 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).