105 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 105 pip movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 22:30 GMT+10. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is > 2.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Dec 00:30
11 Sep 22:30
12 Aug 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).