109 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-11-05 01:00 if the released value is < 57. A price movement of 109 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jul 00:00
07 May 00:00
08 Jan 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).