114 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 0.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jan 00:30
24 Nov 00:30
27 Jul 22:30
27 Jun 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).