Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 123 pip movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 14 Jul 22:30 GMT+10. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 14 Jul 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is < 0.6% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jun 22:30	12 May 22:30
10 Oct 23:30	12 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).