17 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 17 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 11 Mar 23:30 GMT+11. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 11 Mar 23:30 GMT+11 if the released value is < 2.2% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Oct 23:30
12 Sep 22:30
10 May 22:30
12 Mar 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).