17 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect a 17 pip movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 01:30 UTC. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 Apr 01:30 UTC if the released value is > 18

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Mar 00:30
09 Feb 00:30
10 Nov 00:30
05 Oct 00:30
14 Jul 01:30
09 Jun 01:30
12 May 01:30