19 pip movement on USDJPY expected

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect a 19 pip movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release at 24 Jun 12:00 GMT+10. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Jun 12:00 GMT+10 if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Feb 12:00
25 Sep 12:00
26 Jun 12:00
27 Mar 12:00
13 Feb 12:00
08 Nov 07:00
27 Sep 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).