Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect a 20 pip movement on EURUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 18 Feb 20:30 GMT+11. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 18 Feb 20:30 GMT+11 if the released value is > 22.6K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Nov 20:30	16 Jul 18:30
14 May 18:30	16 Apr 18:30
19 Mar 20:20

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).