21 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

We expect a $210 movement on AUDUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the Non Farm Payrolls events in United States release because the released value is > 250K. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Aug 12:30
03 Jun 12:30
06 May 12:30
04 Mar 13:30
04 Feb 13:30
05 Nov 12:30