21 pip movement on USDCHF expected

Based on the last 12 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index events in Germany, we expect a 21 pip movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release at 11 Aug 19:00 GMT+10. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 11 Aug 19:00 GMT+10 if the released value is > 58

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 May 19:00
21 Apr 19:00
10 Dec 21:00
12 Nov 21:00
15 Oct 20:00
17 Sep 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).