231 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect a 231 pip movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2023-05-11 21:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2023-05-11 21:00 if the released value is = 4.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Mar 23:00
02 Feb 23:00
15 Dec 23:00
22 Sep 21:00
04 Aug 21:00
05 May 21:00
03 Feb 23:00
04 Nov 23:00
23 Sep 21:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).