26 pip movement on USDCHF expected

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a 26 pip movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 05:00 GMT+11. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 05:00 GMT+11 if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 06:00
06 Nov 06:00
30 Jul 04:00
11 Jun 04:00
30 Apr 04:00
30 Jan 06:00
12 Dec 06:00
31 Oct 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).