27 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a 27 pip movement on AUDUSD for the next 2 hours. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is > 1.4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Oct 12:30
16 Sep 12:30
16 Jul 12:30
17 Feb 13:30