31 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect a 31 pip movement on AUDUSD for the next 12 hours. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for 12 hours because the released value is < 150K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Feb 18:00
10 Nov 18:00
13 Oct 17:00
15 Sep 16:00
16 Jul 16:00
21 Apr 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).