33 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on past United States New Home Sales news events there is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.575M. A price movement of 33 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jul 00:00
25 May 00:00
24 Mar 01:00
25 Feb 02:00
25 Nov 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).