Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 36 pip movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 11 Feb 00:30 GMT+11. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 11 Feb 00:30 GMT+11 if the released value is = 7.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Dec 00:30	14 Sep 22:30
11 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).