Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > A$12.65B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jan 11:30	08 Dec 11:30
04 Aug 11:30	07 Jul 11:30
02 Jun 11:30	05 May 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).