Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2022-07-08 22:30 if the released value is > 268K. A price movement of 38 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jun 22:30	06 May 22:30
05 Feb 00:30	05 Nov 23:30
06 Aug 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).