39 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a 39 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 28 Oct 11:45 UTC. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 28 Oct 11:45 UTC if the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Sep 11:45
22 Jul 11:45
10 Jun 11:45
10 Dec 12:45
29 Oct 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
16 Jul 11:45
04 Jun 11:45