40 pip movement on USDCHF expected

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect a 40 pip movement on USDCHF within 4 hours following the event release at 25 Sep 09:01 GMT+10. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 25 Sep 09:01 GMT+10 if the released value is > -27

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jul 09:01
22 May 09:01
24 Apr 09:01
31 Mar 10:01
28 Feb 11:01
20 Dec 11:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).