41 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a 41 pip movement on GBPUSD for the next 2 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is < -0.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Sep 12:30
14 Aug 12:30
15 May 12:30
17 Mar 12:30
13 Dec 13:30