Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a 45 pip movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 08 May 22:30 GMT+10. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 08 May 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is > -22000K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Mar 00:30	08 Feb 00:30
07 Dec 00:30	01 Nov 23:30
05 Jul 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).