We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past United Kingdom Balance of Trade news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < £-9.3B. A price movement of 46 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 May 16:00	11 Mar 18:00
10 Sep 16:00	12 Aug 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).