47 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect a 47 pip movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 03:00 UTC. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 03:00 UTC if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 May 03:00
16 Mar 05:00
19 Dec 03:00
31 Oct 04:00
30 Jul 03:00
20 Jun 03:00
25 Apr 03:00
15 Mar 03:00
23 Jan 03:00