48 pip movement on EURUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a 48 pip movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 05 Feb 00:30 GMT+11. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Feb 00:30 GMT+11 if the released value is < 150K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 00:30
08 Oct 23:30
04 Jun 22:30
07 May 22:30
06 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).