50 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 50 pip movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 11 Mar 00:30 GMT+11. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 11 Mar 00:30 GMT+11 if the released value is = 7.9%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Jan 00:30
11 Dec 00:30
11 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).