Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a 52 pip movement on NZDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 26 Apr 22:30 GMT+10. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 26 Apr 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is > 2.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Dec 00:30	26 Nov 00:30
27 Oct 23:30	26 Aug 22:30
27 Jul 22:30	25 Jun 22:30
28 May 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).