6 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect a 6 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 17 Jan 13:30 UTC. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 17 Jan 13:30 UTC if the released value is < 1.375M Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Nov 13:30
16 Aug 12:30
17 Jul 12:30
19 Apr 12:30
26 Mar 12:30