61 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a 61 pip movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 03 Sep 22:30 GMT+10. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 03 Sep 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is < 750K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 22:30
07 May 22:30
06 Feb 00:30
09 Jan 00:30
05 Dec 00:30
02 Oct 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).