66.67% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > 175K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Feb 00:30
07 Dec 00:30
05 Jul 22:30
05 Apr 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).