66.67% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > 55.8

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Sep 00:00
02 Jul 00:00
02 May 00:00
04 Feb 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).