66.67% probability that AUDUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 11.6% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Apr 19:00
15 Feb 21:00
12 Aug 19:00
14 Jul 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).