66.67% probability that AUDUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 93.8

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Aug 18:00
27 Jul 18:00
25 May 18:00
24 Feb 20:00
18 Dec 20:00
24 Sep 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).