66.67% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 SNB Interest Rate Decison events in Switzerland, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = -0.75%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Mar 19:30
12 Dec 19:30
13 Jun 17:30
13 Dec 19:30
21 Jun 17:30
15 Mar 19:30
14 Sep 17:30
15 Jun 17:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).