66.67% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 4.4% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 09:50
14 Nov 10:50
16 May 09:50
14 Feb 10:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).