66.67% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 56.8

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 02:00
06 Oct 01:00
06 Aug 00:00
07 Jul 00:00
06 May 00:00
06 Feb 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).