66.67% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 105

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Apr 10:30
10 Feb 10:30
14 Oct 10:30
09 Sep 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).