66.67% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, EURUSD may trend upwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > €9.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jun 16:00
07 May 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).