66.67% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 6.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Aug 19:00
12 May 19:00
14 Apr 19:00
12 Nov 21:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).