66.67% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > £-2.7B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 07:00
11 Nov 07:00
11 Jun 06:00
12 Mar 07:00