66.67% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, GBPUSD may trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 92.9

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Apr 18:00
22 Feb 20:00
25 Jan 20:00
25 May 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).