66.67% probability that NZDUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > 36.9

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 15:00
01 Jul 14:00