66.67% probability that NZDUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Mar 14:30
01 Dec 14:30
03 Nov 14:30
01 Sep 14:30
07 Jul 14:30
02 Jun 14:30
05 May 14:30
19 Mar 14:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).