66.67% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 400K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Feb 00:30
05 Nov 23:30
06 Aug 22:30
02 Apr 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).