66.67% probability that USDCAD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Jan 23:45
10 Sep 21:45
16 Jul 21:45
04 Jun 21:45
30 Apr 21:45
12 Mar 23:45
12 Dec 23:45
24 Oct 22:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).