66.67% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 2.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Dec 00:30
26 Nov 00:30
26 Aug 22:30
27 Jul 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).