66.67% probability that USDCHF may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 25.1 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Apr 15:20
03 Mar 16:00
02 Oct 15:00
29 Aug 15:00
01 Jul 15:00
31 May 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).