66.67% probability that USDJPY may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, USDJPY may trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 12 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 May 11:30
14 Dec 11:30
13 Jul 11:30
08 Jun 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).