66.67% probability that USDJPY may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > A$5.4B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 11:30
09 Jan 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).